16-Aug

FGIC gives mixed signals

FGIC in its extreme fear zone, with the markets at all-time highs is something that never happened in the past: a signal of how the current markets are to be handled with great care.

The bars on the chart are colored red when FGIC is -8 or lower (Extreme Fear) and green when FGIC is +8 or higher (Extreme Greed).   [ Please follow these links: original and update explanations how FGIC works. ]

The last medium Spike Bounce reached its target but the cluster of the last three signals (marked by vertical lines) was not enough to move FGIC out of the extreme readings: a bearish signal.

The weekly component of FGIC, has risen from its extreme readings, but still in the negative zone with the rest of timeframes (daily, monthly, quarterly).  In the past, quick V-shaped rebounds from below the –8 level predicted a bull market recovery after a slight pullback, while a deepening below this level has accompanied all the major corrections.

Have a safe trading week

Gianluca L.

4 Comments

  • Igor D.
    Posted August 16, 2021 11:17 am 0Likes

    Thanks for the update Gianluca! Very interesting to see how this situation is going to resolve itself

  • Hassenn K.
    Posted August 16, 2021 12:35 pm 0Likes

    Gianluca, Thank you so much for your posts! It is really interesting to gauge the market in different views.

  • Kamal K.
    Posted August 16, 2021 5:15 pm 0Likes

    Every Monday I really look forward to your report. Thank you.

  • Gianluca L.
    Posted August 17, 2021 1:07 am 0Likes

    Thanks for your kind words guys, much appreciated and really encouraging!

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