"It is hard to forecast, especially the future" - famously said Yogi Berra. It is much easier to write about the past, such as the bottom of the 2002 bear market having been broken. That's what I would do if I were an analyst - write about the past. As a trader, I must look into the future - and as a Spike trader, I want to share my views with you. Let me climb out on a limb :-)