10-Jul

Demand needs to show up this week

Hello SpikeTraders,Market participants are reluctant to hold stocks for long as they fear the economy will go into recession as the Fed continues to hike rates to battle historical inflation. By the time any official reports let us know we are in a recession, we will be closer to the end of the recession than the beginning due to the nature of the lag in the reports. Some analysts believe we have already entered the early stages of a recession, and it is a matter of how deep of a recession we will have. A recession always starts when the economy seems good, not when everyone knows a recession has arrived. The recent downward trend is the market’s pricing in some sort of slowdown. The question is just how much of a slowdown we will have. I read a report a few days ago about how one analyst suggested the country needs a slowdown/recession to help put things back into some normalcy and correct the supply chain issues and employment shortage. Let’s look at the charts…

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23-Jun

A 2nd Spike Bounce triggers

Hello SpikeTraders,All three major indexes closed positive after rallying off their lows and closing near the highs of the day. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated before Congress the Fed is committed to cutting inflation at all costs, and acknowledged a recession was "certainly a possibility." That indicates the Fed will tip the economy in =to a recession if needed to defeat inflation. Let’s look at the charts…

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